V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
95.00%
increased by 1.38%
1 Week
98.20%
increased by 4.58%
1 Month
111.03%
increased by 17.41%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | -0.01 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3.7535 | 6.31*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1657 | 12.92*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8343 | 43.10*** |
0.000
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.7535 | 6.31*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1657 | 12.92*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8343 | 43.10*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
0 days
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