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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

95.00%

increased by 1.38%

1 Week

98.20%

increased by 4.58%

1 Month

111.03%

increased by 17.41%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0000
-0.01
λ₁tau intercept3.7535
6.31***
λ₂forecast adj.0.1657
12.92***
λ₃tau persistence0.8343
43.10***

0.000

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.7535
6.31***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1657
12.92***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8343
43.10***

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

0 days