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V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

13.71%

increased by 0.51%

1 Week

13.60%

increased by 0.40%

1 Month

11.22%

decreased by 1.98%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0034
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1931
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.003

Half-life:

0 days