V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
13.71%
increased by 0.51%
1 Week
13.60%
increased by 0.40%
1 Month
11.22%
decreased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0034 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1931 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.003
Half-life:
0 days
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