V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
53.73%
increased by 0.59%
1 Week
62.12%
increased by 8.98%
1 Month
70.84%
increased by 17.70%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 9.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0465 | 3.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3892 | 10.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6773 | 6.94*** |
Persistence:
0.774
Half-life:
3 days
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