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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

67.32%

decreased by 0.96%

1 Week

67.44%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Month

67.80%

decreased by 0.48%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6970
0.95
αARCH0.0690
1.25
βGARCH0.8687
13.35***
γleverage0.0506
0.32

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6970
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0690
1.25
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8687
13.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0506
0.32

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days