Skip to main content
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

53.73%

increased by 0.59%

1 Week

62.12%

increased by 8.98%

1 Month

70.84%

increased by 17.70%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
9.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0465
3.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3892
10.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6773
6.94***

Persistence:

0.774

Half-life:

3 days