Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
55.33%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
56.19%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
58.77%
increased by 2.72%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6784 | 0.96 |
| αARCH | 0.0722 | 1.26 |
| βGARCH | 0.8690 | 13.43*** |
| γleverage | 0.0386 | 0.25 |
0.960
Persistence17d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6784 | 0.96 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0722 | 1.26 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8690 | 13.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0386 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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