V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
46.07%
increased by 2.99%
1 Week
58.29%
increased by 15.21%
1 Month
70.41%
increased by 27.33%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 10.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0632 | 4.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3172 | 9.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.7999 | 6.76*** |
Persistence:
0.780
Half-life:
3 days
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