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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

55.33%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

56.19%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

58.77%

increased by 2.72%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6784
0.96
αARCH0.0722
1.26
βGARCH0.8690
13.43***
γleverage0.0386
0.25

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6784
0.96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0722
1.26
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8690
13.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0386
0.25

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days