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V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

46.07%

increased by 2.99%

1 Week

58.29%

increased by 15.21%

1 Month

70.41%

increased by 27.33%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
10.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0632
4.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3172
9.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7999
6.76***

Persistence:

0.780

Half-life:

3 days