V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
67.32%
decreased by 0.96%
1 Week
67.44%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Month
67.80%
decreased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6970 | 0.95 |
| αARCH | 0.0690 | 1.25 |
| βGARCH | 0.8687 | 13.35*** |
| γleverage | 0.0506 | 0.32 |
0.963
Persistence18d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6970 | 0.95 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0690 | 1.25 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8687 | 13.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0506 | 0.32 |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
Other Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs