V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
71.58%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Week
73.67%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
76.26%
increased by 3.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.49** |
| αARCH | 0.1066 | 1.65* |
| βGARCH | 0.3741 | 2.52** |
| γleverage | 0.6199 | 1.27 |
0.791
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.49** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1066 | 1.65* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3741 | 2.52** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6199 | 1.27 |
Persistence:
0.791
Half-life:
3 days
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