V-Lab
Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
177.18%
increased by 7.30%
1 Week
178.68%
increased by 8.80%
1 Month
183.50%
increased by 13.62%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 11, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0624 | 1.57 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8620 | 39.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0886 | 1.20 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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