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V-Lab
V-Lab

Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

228.04%

increased by 84.59%

1 Week

227.19%

increased by 83.74%

1 Month

224.31%

increased by 80.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.57
αARCH0.1282
0.48
βGARCH0.8575
7.75***
γleverage-0.0276
-0.08

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1282
0.48
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8575
7.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0276
-0.08

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days