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V-Lab

Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

177.18%

increased by 7.30%

1 Week

178.68%

increased by 8.80%

1 Month

183.50%

increased by 13.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0624
1.57
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8620
39.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0886
1.20

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days