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V-Lab

Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

183.89%

decreased by 3.09%

1 Week

185.82%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Month

192.19%

increased by 5.21%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0992
1.70*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8729
34.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0031
0.04

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days