V-Lab
Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
195.01%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Week
196.42%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
201.10%
increased by 5.06%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 11, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0928 | 1.67* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8741 | 36.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0148 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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