V-Lab
Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
183.89%
decreased by 3.09%
1 Week
185.82%
decreased by 1.16%
1 Month
192.19%
increased by 5.21%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 11, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0992 | 1.70* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8729 | 34.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0031 | 0.04 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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