Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

195.01%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Week

196.42%

increased by 0.38%

1 Month

201.10%

increased by 5.06%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 11, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0928
1.67*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8741
36.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0148
0.19

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days