V-Lab
Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
24.48%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
24.60%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
25.08%
increased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 329 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0170 | 1.16 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9965 | 45.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0027 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
329 days
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