Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
22.73%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Week
22.20%
decreased by 1.78%
1 Month
20.98%
decreased by 3.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1449 | 1.04 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8350 | 6.11*** |
| γleverage | 0.1380 | 0.52 |
0.904
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1449 | 1.04 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8350 | 6.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1380 | 0.52 |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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