Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
19.61%
increased by 1.85%
1 Week
19.45%
increased by 1.69%
1 Month
19.13%
increased by 1.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1643 | 1.09 |
| αARCH | 0.0488 | 0.78 |
| βGARCH | 0.8345 | 6.98*** |
0.883
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1643 | 1.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0488 | 0.78 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8345 | 6.98*** |
Persistence:
0.883
Half-life:
6 days
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