Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
21.33%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
21.79%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
23.05%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0827 | 3.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0329 | 1.37 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9152 | 20.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.0000 | -175.31*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 0.61 |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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