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V-Lab

TDAQ Lift ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

17.70%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

21.58%

increased by 3.28%

1 Month

24.74%

increased by 6.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 235% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 2.41 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8735
6.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4160
9.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1902
4.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2453
6.41***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.4149
5.62***

Persistence:

0.734

Half-life:

2 days