V-Lab
TDAQ Lift ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
17.70%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
21.58%
increased by 3.28%
1 Month
24.74%
increased by 6.44%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 235% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 2.41 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8735 | 6.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4160 | 9.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1902 | 4.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2453 | 6.41*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.4149 | 5.62*** |
Persistence:
0.734
Half-life:
2 days
Other TDAQ Lift ETF Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on ETFs