TDAQ Lift ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
51.17%
decreased by 3.02%
1 Week
49.07%
decreased by 5.12%
1 Month
42.95%
decreased by 11.24%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2194 | 1.14 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8727 | 10.54*** |
| γleverage | 0.1267 | 0.70 |
0.936
Persistence10d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2194 | 1.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8727 | 10.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1267 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
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