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V-Lab

TDAQ Lift ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

35.58%

increased by 0.08%

1 Week

35.76%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

36.43%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1441 trading days (~5.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0267
0.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9995
1.51
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1441 days