Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

39.60%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

39.28%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

38.13%

decreased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:02 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2021 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 38-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0632
2.02**
αARCH0.0842
1.16
βGARCH0.8648
24.85***
γleverage0.0655
0.60

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0632
2.02**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0842
1.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8648
24.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0655
0.60

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days