V-Lab
CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
22.01%
decreased by 1.04%
1 Week
24.91%
increased by 1.86%
1 Month
29.20%
increased by 6.15%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5967 | 11.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0418 | 4.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6213 | 26.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3789 | 8.08*** |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
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