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V-Lab

CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

40.25%

increased by 15.57%

1 Week

38.60%

increased by 13.92%

1 Month

35.49%

increased by 10.81%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5966
11.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0404
4.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6206
27.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4005
8.24***

Persistence:

0.861

Half-life:

5 days