CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
40.25%
increased by 15.57%
1 Week
38.60%
increased by 13.92%
1 Month
35.49%
increased by 10.81%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5966 | 11.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0404 | 4.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6206 | 27.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4005 | 8.24*** |
Persistence:
0.861
Half-life:
5 days
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