CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
36.74%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
36.22%
decreased by 1.71%
1 Month
34.56%
decreased by 3.37%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 39% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0321 | 9.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2418 | 14.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9721 | 221.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0393 | -2.38** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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