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V-Lab

CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

36.46%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Week

36.24%

decreased by 2.13%

1 Month

35.46%

decreased by 2.91%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of CIBC MSCI Emerging Markets Equity Index ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0579
6.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1220
15.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8609
91.07***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days