Skip to main content
V-Lab

21Shares Solana ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

54.34%

decreased by 1.88%

1 Week

56.78%

increased by 0.56%

1 Month

62.51%

increased by 6.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of 21Shares Solana ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4461
4.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1080
6.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8180
29.25***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days