21Shares Solana ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
54.34%
decreased by 1.88%
1 Week
56.78%
increased by 0.56%
1 Month
62.51%
increased by 6.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4461 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1080 | 6.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8180 | 29.25*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
Other 21Shares Solana ETF Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on ETFs