V-Lab
21Shares Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
31.15%
decreased by 4.97%
1 Week
31.74%
decreased by 4.38%
1 Month
32.01%
decreased by 4.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2837 | 136.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2511 | 16.98*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0253 | 0.82 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9390 | 32.89*** |
Persistence:
0.409
Half-life:
1 days
Other 21Shares Solana ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs