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V-Lab

21Shares Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

31.15%

decreased by 4.97%

1 Week

31.74%

decreased by 4.38%

1 Month

32.01%

decreased by 4.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of 21Shares Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2837
136.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2511
16.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0253
0.82
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9390
32.89***

Persistence:

0.409

Half-life:

1 days