V-Lab
21Shares Solana ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
15.89%
increased by 1.42%
1 Week
17.72%
increased by 3.25%
1 Month
21.41%
increased by 6.94%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2205 | 4.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3463 | 7.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5666 | 21.20*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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