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V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long CIFR Daily Target ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

322.00%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

321.17%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Month

318.01%

decreased by 4.40%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long CIFR Daily Target ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 102 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7393
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9932
0.04

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

102 days