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V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long CIFR Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

400.13%

increased by 104.00%

1 Week

414.01%

increased by 117.88%

1 Month

439.13%

increased by 143.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long CIFR Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5525
169.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
192.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0162
0.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9838
5.73***

Persistence:

0.803

Half-life:

3 days