V-Lab
T-REX 2x Long CIFR Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
272.63%
1 Week
348.15%
1 Month
653.99%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 863.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6782 | 316.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -1,068.38*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 8.64*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 68.88*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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