V-Lab
Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2.49%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
2.51%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Month
2.54%
decreased by 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8557 | 9.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0860 | 2.98*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0070 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7341 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
6 days
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