V-Lab
Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.20%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
2.29%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
2.46%
increased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 1, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8227 | 11.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1150 | 4.69*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0067 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7497 | 0.12 |
Persistence:
0.880
Half-life:
5 days
Other Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs