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V-Lab

Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

2.49%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

2.51%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

2.54%

decreased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8557
9.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0860
2.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0070
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7341
0.06

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

6 days