CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	66
αARCH	0.0237	3.40***
βGARCH	0.9831	98.30***
γleverage	-0.0237	-3.79***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0012	0.62
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0015	1.03
λ₃tau persistence	0.0286	13.46***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	66
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0237	3.40***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9831	98.30***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0237	-3.79***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0012	0.62
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0015	1.03
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0286	13.46***

V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Analyses