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Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

118.05%

increased by 1.44%

1 Week

132.82%

increased by 16.21%

1 Month

124.74%

increased by 8.13%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.5000
85.08***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage-0.5000
-78.55***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.2174
35.07***
λ₃tau persistence0.7097
78.88***

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
85.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-78.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2174
35.07***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7097
78.88***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days