Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

190.53%

increased by 34.71%

1 Week

146.46%

decreased by 9.36%

1 Month

123.74%

decreased by 32.08%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.5000
165.34***
βGARCH0.1666
12.25***
γleverage-0.5000
-162.71***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0298
2.04**
λ₃tau persistence0.9348
23.07***

0.417

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
165.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1666
12.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-162.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0298
2.04**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9348
23.07***

Persistence:

0.417

Half-life:

1 days