Skip to main content
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

141.93%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

156.21%

increased by 13.86%

1 Month

165.47%

increased by 23.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3666
26.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3666
-26.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0459
0.37
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9363
4.11***

Persistence:

0.183

Half-life:

0 days