V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
219.84%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
219.84%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
219.84%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6969 | 2.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7881 | 1.59 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.7153 | -0.25 |
Persistence:
0.788
Half-life:
3 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs