V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
1.39%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
1.40%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
1.40%
decreased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1533 | 2.53** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0186 | 0.26 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 151.7132 | 2.84*** |
| γ2 | -246.5439 | -3.28*** |
| γ3 | 145.2615 | 3.23*** |
| γ4 | -122.6124 | -1.69* |
Persistence:
0.019
Half-life:
0 days
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