Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2.87%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
2.87%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
2.87%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 58 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1377 | 2.45** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9882 | 0.02 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 145.0546 | 0.74 |
| γ2 | -229.5329 | -1.94* |
| γ3 | 112.5808 | 1.21 |
| γ4 | -29.3212 | -0.65 |
| γ5 | -0.4772 | 0.00 |
0.988
Persistence58d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1377 | 2.45** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9882 | 0.02 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 145.0546 | 0.74 |
| γ2 | -229.5329 | -1.94* |
| γ3 | 112.5808 | 1.21 |
| γ4 | -29.3212 | -0.65 |
| γ5 | -0.4772 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
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