V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2.95%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
2.96%
decreased by 0.00%
1 Month
2.96%
decreased by 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2263 | 2.52** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0112 | 0.15 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 197.0940 | 2.91*** |
| γ2 | -303.2992 | -3.24*** |
| γ3 | 140.8187 | 3.09*** |
| γ4 | -39.6028 | -1.26 |
Persistence:
0.011
Half-life:
0 days
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