V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2.27%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
2.35%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Month
2.58%
increased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.82 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0360 | 3.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0990 | 5.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9465 | 44.27*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.8191 | 1.90* |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
13 days
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