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V-Lab

Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

3.03%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

3.03%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

3.05%

increased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 3.81 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0378
0.65
αARCH0.0743
1.34
βGARCH0.9430
8.22***
νDF3.8137
0.52

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0378
0.65
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0743
1.34
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9430
8.22***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8137
0.52

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days