V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
3.03%
increased by 0.09%
1 Week
3.03%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
3.05%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 3.81 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0378 | 0.65 |
| αARCH | 0.0743 | 1.34 |
| βGARCH | 0.9430 | 8.22*** |
| νDF | 3.8137 | 0.52 |
0.943
Persistence12d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0378 | 0.65 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0743 | 1.34 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9430 | 8.22*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.8137 | 0.52 |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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