Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2.59%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
2.64%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
2.76%
decreased by 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 4.20 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 0.0370 | 0.67 |
| αscore | 0.0725 | 1.16 |
| βpersistence | 0.9410 | 7.77*** |
| νDF | 4.1995 | 0.39 |
0.941
Persistence11d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 0.0370 | 0.67 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0725 | 1.16 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9410 | 7.77*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.1995 | 0.39 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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