V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
2.37%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
2.44%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
2.61%
increased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.91 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0339 | 3.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0908 | 5.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9434 | 39.82*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.9101 | 1.57 |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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