Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
0.61%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
0.79%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
0.93%
increased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.3235 | |
| βGARCH | 0.1262 | |
| γleverage | 0.4999 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0037 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0011 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0039 |
0.700
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3235 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1262 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4999 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0037 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0011 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0039 |
Persistence:
0.700
Half-life:
2 days
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