V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
2.65%
increased by 0.08%
1 Week
3.20%
increased by 0.63%
1 Month
8.00%
increased by 5.43%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.6106 | |
| βGARCH | 0.2854 | |
| γleverage | 0.1678 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6106 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2854 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1678 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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