V-Lab
Sterling Capital Multi-Strategy Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
1.39%
1 Week
300,463.89%
1 Month
7,935,657,250,662,985,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 93.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 1.43 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -93.76*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2605 | 9.00*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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