CBOE Volatility Index

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{name} Model Equation

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	56
αARCH	0.0109	0.79
βGARCH	0.8537	57.16***
γleverage	0.1573	7.67***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0124	1.60
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0259	2.71***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9700	85.10***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	56
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0109	0.79
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8537	57.16***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1573	7.67***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0124	1.60
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0259	2.71***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9700	85.10***

V-Lab

iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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