Twin Oak Strategic Solutions ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
30.54%
increased by 0.18%
1 Week
30.90%
increased by 0.54%
1 Month
32.05%
increased by 1.69%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0586 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0935 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0766 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9234 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.059
Half-life:
0 days
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