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V-Lab

Twin Oak Strategic Solutions ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

27.19%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Week

27.54%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

28.24%

increased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Twin Oak Strategic Solutions ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3787
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8297
11.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1118
2.03**

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days