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Twin Oak Strategic Solutions ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

38.55%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Week

37.18%

decreased by 3.48%

1 Month

33.51%

decreased by 7.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Twin Oak Strategic Solutions ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2226
0.72
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8650
5.77***
γleverage0.1193
0.82

0.925

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2226
0.72
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8650
5.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1193
0.82

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days