V-Lab
Twin Oak Strategic Solutions ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
27.19%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Week
27.54%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Month
28.24%
increased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3787 | 2.44** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8297 | 11.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1118 | 2.03** |
Persistence:
0.886
Half-life:
6 days
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