V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
209.90%
increased by 3.61%
1 Week
209.57%
increased by 3.28%
1 Month
208.50%
increased by 2.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.20 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9637 | 52.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0122 | 0.39 |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs