V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
271.38%
decreased by 6.49%
1 Week
269.40%
decreased by 8.47%
1 Month
262.51%
decreased by 15.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.34 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9376 | 61.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0757 | 2.05** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs