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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

271.38%

decreased by 6.49%

1 Week

269.40%

decreased by 8.47%

1 Month

262.51%

decreased by 15.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.34
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9376
61.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0757
2.05**

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days