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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

270.59%

decreased by 7.63%

1 Week

267.48%

decreased by 10.74%

1 Month

256.91%

decreased by 21.31%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.43
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9273
21.47***
γleverage0.0874
0.66

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.43
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9273
21.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0874
0.66

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days