V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
237.49%
decreased by 4.37%
1 Week
236.55%
decreased by 5.31%
1 Month
233.35%
decreased by 8.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.38 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9426 | 15.96*** |
| γleverage | 0.0619 | 0.42 |
0.974
Persistence26d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.38 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9426 | 15.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0619 | 0.42 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs