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V-Lab
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

237.49%

decreased by 4.37%

1 Week

236.55%

decreased by 5.31%

1 Month

233.35%

decreased by 8.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.38
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9426
15.96***
γleverage0.0619
0.42

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9426
15.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0619
0.42

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days