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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

376.67%

decreased by 14.71%

1 Week

370.67%

decreased by 20.71%

1 Month

349.52%

decreased by 41.86%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.38
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9180
22.39***
γleverage0.1138
0.91

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9180
22.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1138
0.91

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days