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Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

207.20%

increased by 2.38%

1 Week

207.21%

increased by 2.39%

1 Month

207.24%

increased by 2.42%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.46
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9366
19.77***
γleverage0.0683
0.50

0.971

Persistence

23d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9366
19.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0683
0.50

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days