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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

168.19%

decreased by 91.85%

1 Week

175.73%

decreased by 84.31%

1 Month

185.59%

decreased by 74.45%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.2277), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0586
12.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.3160
-11.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7870
46.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2277
-9.57***

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days