Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

331.08%

decreased by 75.67%

1 Week

323.39%

decreased by 83.36%

1 Month

334.45%

decreased by 72.30%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0457
βGARCH0.6416
γleverage0.4792
λ₁tau intercept0.0246
λ₂forecast adj.0.3132
λ₃tau persistence0.6860

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0457
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6416
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4792
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0246
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3132
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6860

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days