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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

225.92%

increased by 0.96%

1 Week

227.80%

increased by 2.84%

1 Month

235.00%

increased by 10.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9314
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4805
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0273
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9727
0.00

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days