V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
268.42%
decreased by 17.72%
1 Week
268.42%
decreased by 17.72%
1 Month
268.42%
decreased by 17.72%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2401 | 129.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8799 | 676.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2401 | -139.19*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 172.3523 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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