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V-Lab
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

215.24%

decreased by 14.92%

1 Week

244.59%

increased by 14.43%

1 Month

334.83%

increased by 104.67%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7344
3,599.90***
γleverage0.5000
111.28***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
1.81*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence1.0000
38.83***

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7344
3,599.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
111.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.81*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

1.0000
38.83***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days