Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
213.53%
decreased by 2.11%
1 Week
215.20%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Month
220.97%
increased by 5.33%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.11 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0538 | 2.14** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9535 | 41.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0538 | -2.03** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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