Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
238.02%
decreased by 5.64%
1 Week
230.62%
decreased by 13.04%
1 Month
227.82%
decreased by 15.84%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0386 | 5.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0470 | 0.57 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3485 | 0.28 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.8656 | 0.51 |
Persistence:
0.396
Half-life:
1 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs