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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

287.36%

decreased by 75.02%

1 Week

269.84%

decreased by 92.54%

1 Month

257.72%

decreased by 104.66%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long CIFR Daily ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8299
6.64***
αARCH0.1922
1.83*
βGARCH0.4178
1.43
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5503
-1.42

0.610

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8299
6.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1922
1.83*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4178
1.43
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5503
-1.42

Persistence:

0.610

Half-life:

1 days