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Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

2.73%

increased by 0.45%

1 Week

2.77%

increased by 0.49%

1 Month

2.90%

increased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

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graph of Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6479
2.93***
αARCH0.1477
3.80***
βGARCH0.8071
17.35***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-3.5744
-4.74***
γ25.0761
4.04***
γ3-1.9695
-1.72*
γ40.6711
0.75

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6479
2.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1477
3.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8071
17.35***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-3.5744
-4.74***
γ25.0761
4.04***
γ3-1.9695
-1.72*
γ40.6711
0.75

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days