V-Lab
Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
2.88%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
3.14%
increased by 0.28%
1 Month
3.63%
increased by 0.77%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 12, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5277 | 3.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1442 | 3.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7510 | 9.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -4.2763 | -2.74*** |
| γ2 | 4.2497 | 1.64 |
| γ3 | 1.8086 | 0.87 |
| γ4 | -2.7319 | -1.60 |
| γ5 | 1.0999 | 1.01 |
Persistence:
0.895
Half-life:
6 days
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