Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
4.32%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
4.37%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Month
4.51%
decreased by 0.30%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 12, 2022 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.58 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 37-day half-lifev = 2.58 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 0.1202 | 0.86 |
| αscore | 0.0923 | 9.41*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9817 | 48.86*** |
| νDF | 2.5825 | 10.16*** |
0.982
Persistence37d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 0.1202 | 0.86 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0923 | 9.41*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9817 | 48.86*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.5825 | 10.16*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
37 days
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