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Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

5.53%

increased by 0.77%

1 Week

5.58%

increased by 0.82%

1 Month

5.75%

increased by 0.99%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

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graph of Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-lifev = 2.30 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1756
0.79
αARCH0.1008
10.42***
βGARCH0.9794
39.89***
νDF2.2975
20.17***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1756
0.79
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1008
10.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9794
39.89***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.2975
20.17***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days