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V-Lab

Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

2.22%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

2.67%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

4.01%

increased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Janus Henderson B-BBB CLO ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7437
75.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
28.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0144
2.75***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0314
1.77*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9493
31.58***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

110 days