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V-Lab

Amplify Samsung Sofr ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

1.44%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

1.48%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Month

1.63%

increased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amplify Samsung Sofr ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 76% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1229
19.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6812
75.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0930
7.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0010
0.61
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5398
5.71***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4602
5.01***

Persistence:

0.851

Half-life:

4 days