V-Lab
Amplify Samsung Sofr ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
1.33%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
1.38%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
1.50%
increased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1276 | 16.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6803 | 58.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0828 | 6.99*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0002 | 0.64 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0929 | 4.12*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9071 | 38.70*** |
Persistence:
0.849
Half-life:
4 days
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