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V-Lab

Amplify Samsung Sofr ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1.33%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

1.38%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

1.50%

increased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Amplify Samsung Sofr ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1276
16.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6803
58.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0828
6.99***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0002
0.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0929
4.12***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9071
38.70***

Persistence:

0.849

Half-life:

4 days