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V-Lab

Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

8.77%

decreased by 8.65%

1 Week

9.78%

decreased by 7.64%

1 Month

10.04%

decreased by 7.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.13
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.04
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
31.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4066
19.95***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.03

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days