V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
8.77%
decreased by 8.65%
1 Week
9.78%
decreased by 7.64%
1 Month
10.04%
decreased by 7.38%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.04 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 31.98*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4066 | 19.95*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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