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Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

118.33%

decreased by 1.80%

1 Week

132.71%

increased by 12.58%

1 Month

153.14%

increased by 33.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
33.98***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
6.64***
λ₂forecast adj.0.2047
4.19***
λ₃tau persistence0.7953
26.62***

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
33.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
6.64***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2047
4.19***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7953
26.62***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days