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Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

52.16%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Week

60.32%

increased by 7.51%

1 Month

65.63%

increased by 12.82%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.5000
23.69***
βGARCH0.0929
14.36***
γleverage-0.5000
-23.54***
λ₁tau intercept4.4996
23.26***
λ₂forecast adj.0.7404
29.65***
λ₃tau persistence0.0951
3.22***

0.343

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
23.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0929
14.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-23.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.4996
23.26***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7404
29.65***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0951
3.22***

Persistence:

0.343

Half-life:

1 days