Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

65.66%

increased by 21.46%

1 Week

55.31%

increased by 11.11%

1 Month

52.08%

increased by 7.88%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Canary Litecoin Etf MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow86
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.01
γleverage0.5000
36.68***
λ₁tau intercept9.5472
5.34***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0762
0.55

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.01
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
36.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.5472
5.34***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0762
0.55

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days