V-Lab
Canary Litecoin Etf EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
33.58%
increased by 1.92%
1 Week
32.92%
increased by 1.26%
1 Month
30.64%
decreased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 52-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0009 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | -0.1778 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9869 | 5.77*** |
| γleverage | -0.1723 | 0.00 |
0.987
Persistence52d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0009 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.1778 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9869 | 5.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1723 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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