V-Lab
PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 20 ETF - February EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
3.65%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
3.83%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
4.47%
increased by 0.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.2359), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0666 | -7.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1223 | 9.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9609 | 116.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2359 | -22.33*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
Other PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 20 ETF - February Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs