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V-Lab

PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 20 ETF - February EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

3.65%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

3.83%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

4.47%

increased by 0.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 20 ETF - February EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 1, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.2359), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0666
-7.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1223
9.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9609
116.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2359
-22.33***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days