Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

15.76%

increased by 0.61%

1 Week

15.93%

increased by 0.78%

1 Month

16.51%

increased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI EAFE ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 27, 2001 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 360% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 360% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0103
1.23
αARCH0.1664
7.27***
βGARCH0.9745
153.20***
γleverage-0.1069
-6.05***

0.974

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0103
1.23
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1664
7.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9745
153.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1069
-6.05***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days