iShares MSCI EAFE ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
13.05%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
13.38%
increased by 0.24%
1 Month
14.45%
increased by 1.31%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0306 | 3.77*** |
| αARCH | 0.0332 | 1.89* |
| βGARCH | 0.8785 | 76.46*** |
| γleverage | 0.1373 | 4.19*** |
0.980
Persistence35d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0306 | 3.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0332 | 1.89* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8785 | 76.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1373 | 4.19*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
Other iShares MSCI EAFE ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs