V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
164.39%
increased by 10.08%
1 Week
165.63%
increased by 11.32%
1 Month
169.45%
increased by 15.14%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.58 |
| αARCH | 0.0787 | 0.38 |
| βGARCH | 0.9219 | 10.67*** |
| γleverage | -0.0787 | -0.32 |
0.961
Persistence18d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0787 | 0.38 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9219 | 10.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0787 | -0.32 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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