Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
159.57%
increased by 14.46%
1 Week
161.23%
increased by 16.12%
1 Month
166.30%
increased by 21.19%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.43 |
| αARCH | 0.0627 | 0.36 |
| βGARCH | 0.9301 | 9.40*** |
| γleverage | -0.0627 | -0.33 |
0.961
Persistence18d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.43 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0627 | 0.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9301 | 9.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0627 | -0.33 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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