V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
220.96%
increased by 0.83%
1 Week
222.62%
increased by 2.49%
1 Month
229.09%
increased by 8.96%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 553 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7054 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9987 | 0.09 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
553 days
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