V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
201.53%
increased by 0.29%
1 Week
202.08%
increased by 0.84%
1 Month
204.04%
increased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.1529 | 1.78* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0104 | 0.18 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9780 | 67.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0104 | -0.15 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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