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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

153.45%

decreased by 2.07%

1 Week

155.46%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

161.55%

increased by 6.03%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.9147
0.57
αARCH0.0775
0.37
βGARCH0.9223
10.80***
γleverage-0.0775
-0.32

0.961

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9147
0.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0775
0.37
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9223
10.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0775
-0.32

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days