V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
148.85%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Week
151.51%
increased by 0.98%
1 Month
159.62%
increased by 9.09%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.8729 | 0.50 |
| αARCH | 0.0794 | 0.39 |
| βGARCH | 0.9236 | 9.03*** |
| γleverage | -0.0794 | -0.38 |
0.963
Persistence19d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.8729 | 0.50 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0794 | 0.39 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9236 | 9.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0794 | -0.38 |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
19 days
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