V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
153.45%
decreased by 2.07%
1 Week
155.46%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
161.55%
increased by 6.03%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.9147 | 0.57 |
| αARCH | 0.0775 | 0.37 |
| βGARCH | 0.9223 | 10.80*** |
| γleverage | -0.0775 | -0.32 |
0.961
Persistence17d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.9147 | 0.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0775 | 0.37 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9223 | 10.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0775 | -0.32 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs