Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
139.79%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Week
142.86%
increased by 1.59%
1 Month
152.35%
increased by 11.08%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.3383 | 0.48 |
| αARCH | 0.0871 | 0.49 |
| βGARCH | 0.9235 | 9.32*** |
| γleverage | -0.0871 | -0.48 |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.3383 | 0.48 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0871 | 0.49 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9235 | 9.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0871 | -0.48 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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