V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
125.97%
decreased by 6.82%
1 Week
130.53%
decreased by 2.26%
1 Month
143.64%
increased by 10.85%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.98 |
| αARCH | 0.3045 | 1.75* |
| βGARCH | 0.7246 | 6.37*** |
| γleverage | -0.1402 | -0.59 |
0.959
Persistence17d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.98 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3045 | 1.75* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7246 | 6.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1402 | -0.59 |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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