V-Lab
Genter Capital TAX Qlty Inmd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
3.80%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
3.97%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
4.22%
increased by 0.41%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 27, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0122 | 6.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1736 | 5.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6888 | 19.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0462 | -1.11 |
Persistence:
0.839
Half-life:
4 days
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