V-Lab
Vanguard Ftse Canada IDX ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
9.14%
increased by 0.96%
1 Week
9.42%
increased by 1.24%
1 Month
10.24%
increased by 2.06%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0252 | 26.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1157 | 20.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7737 | 164.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1358 | 12.33*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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