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V-Lab

Vanguard Ftse Canada IDX ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

8.83%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

9.11%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

9.98%

increased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Ftse Canada IDX ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0211
15.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8705
265.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1910
18.45***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days