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V-Lab

Vanguard Ftse Canada IDX ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

9.62%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

10.08%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

11.33%

increased by 1.41%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Ftse Canada IDX ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8509
228.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2110
39.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0015
4.05***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0141
7.66***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9836
410.00***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days