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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI France ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

13.86%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

14.34%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

15.70%

increased by 1.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI France ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 343% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 343% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0356
2.22**
βGARCH0.8647
73.53***
γleverage0.1221
6.74***
λ₁tau intercept0.0044
1.28
λ₂forecast adj.0.0150
2.21**
λ₃tau persistence0.9828
129.66***

0.961

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0356
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8647
73.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1221
6.74***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0044
1.28
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0150
2.21**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9828
129.66***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days