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V-Lab

iShares MSCI France ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

17.63%

decreased by 0.57%

1 Week

17.90%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

18.84%

increased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI France ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 295% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0374
17.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0371
10.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8934
353.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1095
17.76***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days